Want to pick the 2019 winner of the Big Ten’s West Division?
No problem. Write the names of all seven teams on small pieces of paper. Then tear up the one labeled Illinois and throw it into recycling. Now place the other six, including the Golden Gophers, into a helmet—and stir up the pieces with the fury of a gridiron warrior!
Whatever order of team names is drawn could be the final West Division standings in late November. Except for bottom-feeder Illinois, every college football authority is predicting the West will be a wild scramble—perhaps the most competitive race in the country to determine a champion.
Nebraska is a popular choice by many sources to win the division title. For example, the results of the often quoted Cleveland.com media poll that came out last month predicted this order of finish: Nebraska, Iowa, Wisconsin, Northwestern, Purdue, Minnesota and Illinois.
The high scoring Cornhuskers have a glamour coach in Scott Frost, future Heisman Trophy candidate in sophomore quarterback Adrian Martinez and maybe the Big Ten’s best football athlete in wide receiver and Eden Prairie native J.D. Spielman (he might have opted for lacrosse at Ohio State). The Huskers have a feared offense but the vote here is that the defense will still be too leaky under Frost, who in his second season is rebuilding the once national power.
Also a warning sign that Frost may not have his culture in place yet is news linking multiple players to marijuana use. Put the Huskers down for a 5-4 conference record, but no title.
So if the road to the West championship doesn’t go through Lincoln where does it lead? Follow the trail to both Evanston and Iowa City. Sports Headliners is predicting Northwestern and Iowa will tie for the West title with 6-3 league records. Joining the Cornhuskers with 5-4 records and in a second place logjam will be Minnesota and Purdue. How is that for a cozy race?
Wisconsin and Illinois? The Badgers and Illini finish at the bottom of the West standings with respective conference records of 3-6 and 1-8 (Illinois defeats lowly Rutgers from the Big Ten East).
Northwestern is the defending division champ and although the Wildcats have won 15 of their last 16 Big Ten games they don’t receive enough respect. That’s not an issue here, and I will argue coach Pat Fitzgerald is the league’s best coach. The Wildcats annually play some of the most physical football in the Big Ten and do it with intelligence. The schedule is formidable with crossover games against East Division brutes Ohio State and Michigan State but at least the Cats meet up with both in Evanston.
“They play their butts off. That’s their secret,” an anonymous coach said about Northwestern in the 2019 issue of Athlon college football magazine.
Iowa has a senior quarterback in returning starter Nate Stanley, and talented players on the offensive and defensive lines. Those are high value assets for a Hawkeyes team that closed last season impressively, including with a bowl win over the SEC’s Mississippi State. As usual the Hawks figure to be a plodding and conservative offensive bunch, but also one that doesn’t make a lot of mistakes.
Iowa will be difficult to score against and despite a schedule that includes crossover games with East Division powers Michigan and Penn State, the Hawks go 6-3 and find a way to win one more league game than last year when they were 5-4.
Look no further than the state of Iowa to find support for the Gophers who haven’t won a Big Ten championship since 1967. Chad Leistikow, writing in late July for Hawkcentral.com, predicted Minnesota will have a 6-3 conference record and finish in a second place tie with Nebraska (behind Iowa) in the West Division. He rightfully refers to Minnesota’s Big Ten schedule as the “friendliest” among division contenders, and he likes the team’s talented and deep skill players at running back and receiver.

Zack Annexstad’s foot injury that has him out indefinitely makes the quarterback situation fragile with no experience behind Tanner Morgan but there is recognition in Big Ten territory that coach P.J. Fleck has more talent on both sides of the ball than seen in Dinkytown for awhile.
Purdue Nation is in a lovefest with third-year coach Jeff Brohm. He has revived a dreadful program with a highlight reel offense featuring one of college football’s most exciting players in wide receiver Rondale Moore. The Boilermakers can make opponents dizzy with their passing but concerns about the line put some gloom on the offensive unit. Defensively, the Boilers haven’t established a positive identity in Brohm’s first two seasons, giving up 40 points or more in four games last season including when Minnesota pounded Purdue 41-10 in Minneapolis.
The Gophers and Boilers open their league schedules in West Lafayette. Sorry, but the forecast here is Purdue takes revenge for 2018.
West Division glory frequently has gone through Madison but maybe things are changing. Wisconsin was not only a favorite to win the West a year ago, but appeared talented enough to make a run at earning an invitation to the College Football Playoff. Instead the Badgers disappointed with an 8-5 overall record, 5-4 in the Big Ten. Wisconsin lost an early season game at home when BYU pulled off a major upset. Things got worse when at season’s end the hated Gophers embarrassed the Badgers in Madison, 37-15.
Despite a big bowl win over Miami, did the long powerful UW program lose its swagger? If so, can the Badgers get it back? The recovery project may include turning to a true freshman quarterback in Graham Mertz and seeing progress from a suspect defense. Pivotal season coming for the Badgers who showcase Jonathan Taylor, the great junior running back.
When Illinois hired NFL veteran Lovie Smith as its head coach in 2016, I found it a curious choice. I am still scratching my head about that, and Illini loyalists can’t be blamed if they are pulling their hair out. In three seasons Smith and friends are 9-27 overall and 4-23 in Big Ten games (ouch). Based on past performance, the Illini don’t seem to do a lot effectively but they do have one of the conference’s better running back tandems in Reggie Corbin and Mike Epstein. Positives also are that the Illini seem to be upgrading the talent and there’s not much whispering about Smith’s job security because school authorities appear committed for the long-term.
The Big Ten schedule parade starts next week with nonconference games led first by Minnesota hosting South Dakota State on Thursday night.
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