A trusted Sports Headliners source, a former front office personnel leader with NFL teams, is optimistic about playing time in 2024 for Vikings rookie quarterback J.J. McCarthy who for now is behind veteran Sam Darnold on the early depth chart.
“I expect him to be the starter, maybe not week one, but I would say certainly by October I think he’ll have taken over for Darnold, and I think he could beat him out in training camp. That they (the coaches) may just say hey, we’re going to go with the more talented guy here,” said the source who asked not to be identified.
Darnold, the No. 3 overall pick in the 2018 draft by the Jets, has bounced around, also playing for the Panthers and 49ers without establishing himself as a key performer. The source describes Darnold, who the Vikings signed as a free agent in March, as “good insurance” until McCarthy is ready.
Darnold, who turns 27 in June, has been inconsistent in past pro stops since leaving USC. Never say never, but the source believes it’s “hard to think that things will change dramatically” for Darnold who has 63 career touchdowns and 56 interceptions.
McCarthy, 21, was the No. 10 overall pick last month in the first round of the NFL Draft. The authority refers to the former Michigan national championship QB as a potential franchise changing player. He sees a lot to like in the 6-foot-3, 219-pound McCarthy, describing him as motivated, athletic and able to “make all the throws.”
A criticism of McCarthy before the draft was he didn’t have to do all that much in Michigan’s run-focused offense that was loaded with talent. However, the insider said when McCarthy “had to make plays he did.” He added McCarthy was “very efficient on third and long, whether it was throwing or running.”
The Vikings are into spring activities and practices which will provide a first look at the QB who was 27-1 as a starter with the Wolverines. “I am excited to see him in camp. I think it was a huge move just for the excitement factor for the franchise and get…the fanbase kind of cranked up,” the source said. “Now they’ve got a guy that could be considered a future franchise quarterback and potentially make people forget about Kirk Cousins.”
What criteria will the Vikings use to evaluate their rookie and potential future leader in the immediate days and weeks ahead before training camp starts in July? The authority, who has been part of leading drafts for NFL teams, said the Vikings coaches will want to see how effectively McCarthy is learning the offense and making the right decisions on the field. “To just see where he’s at and how he’s coming along. I think he’ll progress quickly, will be my expectation for him.”
Head coach Kevin O’Connell knows it’s a challenging learning experience for a rookie quarterback but not surprisingly is upbeat his No. 1 draft pick who will wear No. 9 just like former Viking QB Tommy Kramer. “…This guy (McCarthy) is a process-driven guy and understands that there’s a long road ahead of him. That we’re just trying to make incremental gains that will be solidified as part of how he plays quarterback for a long time. So, I’ve been really impressed with him so far and look forward to get another full day tomorrow,” O’Connell said last Friday.
Optimism about a college phenom preparing for a first season in the NFL can eventually change for varied reasons including lack of surrounding support. But McCarthy’s environment with the Vikings is part of what fuels the insider’s positivity about him finding success early on.
The offensive personnel are a roster strength. All-world Justin Jefferson leads a superb group of pass receivers. Tackles Christian Darrisaw and Brian O’Neill are two of the best on one team in the league. Off-season signee and veteran Aaron Jones gives the Vikings a proven playmaker at running back.
O’Connell is an offensive guru and former NFL quarterback. His staff includes new quarterbacks coach Josh McCown who played 18 seasons in the league. O’Connell said McCown “has absolutely been awesome from day one,” praising his assistant for his ability to communicate information and knowledge to others.
Viking teammates and coaches—the supporting cast—are probably the best that any quarterback from the 2024 draft is going to have. It’s an environment the Sports Headliners authority said could contribute to McCarthy starting “sooner, rather than later.”
In July and August McCarthy figures to play as much or more in practice and preseason games as Darnold. Part of the process will likely involve a scrimmage or two against another NFL team and that will be an opportunity for McCarthy, too. “…That’s where he’ll get really the valuable reps against first team defenses and so forth,” the insider said.
How will the coaching staff evaluate McCarthy before the season starts in September? “They want to see progress,” the source said. “They want to see confidence. They want to see that he is going to be capable to make plays whenever they put him in the lineup whether that’s opening day, or week six, or week eight, or after the bye week. Whatever they do.”
It looks right now like a two-man race for the starting job, with no additions expected to the quarterback roster. “They’re not going to sign another quarterback,” the source said. “They need to put their money toward that interior offensive line and also I still think they could use another corner, another veteran corner.”
The authority knows predictions are often dicey, but it seems unlikely Darnold can flip a switch in his career development. “Anything is possible, but I think the likelihood is that they want J.J. to be the guy. And be the guy as soon as he’s ready.”
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