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Category: NCAA

Vikes & Fans Will Be Immersed in Off-Season Drama

Posted on January 8, 2024January 8, 2024 by David Shama

 

Now the Great Quarterback Watch begins.  “Purple Nation” waits in anticipation the next few months to learn how the Vikings intend to solve their quarterback dilemma and who will lead the offense next season.

Fairly or not, the result may define the general manager era of Kwesi Adofo-Mensah. Why fairly? Because it may not be known for a while if the Wilf ownership group dictates a strategy that the franchise’s inexperienced GM disagrees with but is forced to carry out.

The Wilfs have declined past purges of the roster and the resulting long-term strategy to rebuild the club.  Their “competitive rebuild” approach of recent years dictates roster patching with a minimum goal of qualifying for the playoffs.

The Wilfs want badly to win the Super Bowl.  Zygi Wilf, often seen as ownership’s leader, is a serious football fan who is pained by Vikings losses. The Wilf family has stepped up with a willingness to provide the resources needed for a successful franchise including the state-of-the-art practice facility in Eagan and downtown’s U.S. Bank Stadium.

The guess here is ownership will have to be talked out of re-signing free agent Kirk Cousins if Adofo-Mensah wants to go in a new direction.  If Cousins recovers by next fall from his right Achilles tendon tear last October, the offense could be among the best in the NFL.  The Wilfs may take that position and argue the defense can be patched up through the NFL Draft and free agency.

The result? A likely playoff team emerging from a competitive NFC North Division but not an elite group.

Cousins is all but certain to favor staying in Minnesota.  The 35-year-old likes Kevin O’Connell personally and likes the head coach’s offensive system.  That system is not an easy one to master but can produce high scoring results.  Cousins has about two years invested in the system, and it makes more sense to enjoy the rewards of familiarity rather than the challenge of starting over.

Kirk Cousins

And how could Cousins not want to stay here and enjoy the company of pass receivers Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and T.J. Hockenson? Jefferson, a superstar, has 11 career games with at least 150 yards in his first four seasons and that’s an NFL record.  As a rookie this fall Addison emerged as a talented big play target and complement to Jefferson at wide receiver.  Although Hockenson is a tight end, he is also a deep and intermediate threat.

Signing Cousins will be expensive but it’s safe wagering money to think he will demand less money from the Vikings than a rival organization chasing him. Cousins might be willing to accept compensation of $30 to $40 million on a two-year deal.  The length of the contract could be a challenge for both Cousins and any front office that pursues him.

But that’s not to minimize the importance and amount of money the Vikings must be accountable for to their owners and NFL salary cap.  Adofo-Mensah will have payroll challenges including with Jefferson who is in line for a deal that annually will rival Cousins.  The Vikings have a long list of free agents including starters and headed by sack artist and defensive end Danielle Hunter who will be looking for a per yearly deal of perhaps $20 million.

Because of their 7-10 season, the Vikings will draft at No. 11 in the first round of April’s NFL Draft.  They could decide to say no thanks to Cousins and draft a quarterback with the intent of starting the rookie next fall.  That says rebuild and a focus on the playoffs in a couple of years.

At No. 11 the Vikings might put a trade package together and jump up even further in the draft.  That might ensure the Vikes can select one of the top quarterbacks in the draft and may ultimately be their strategy.

There are six quarterbacks who could go in the first round: Caleb Williams, USC; Drake Maye, North Carolina; Jayden Daniels, LSU; Michael Penix Jr., Washington; Bo Nix, Oregon; and J.J. McCarthy, Michigan.  At least a couple of them will likely still be available at No. 11.

However, the catch is it looks like there’s a gap in desirability right now between the first four and the last two quarterbacks. Nix, who turns 24 next month, may not appeal to the Vikings who could prefer McCarthy if positioned to choose between the two and failing to move up in the draft order. McCarthy is as athletic or more so than his prolific rivals, has played in a more conservative offense and is perhaps more intriguing because at 20 years old he is the youngest of them.

Williams, Maye, Daniels and Penix could be year-one starters, with the outlook more uncertain for Nix.  Don’t wager anything other than yesterday’s garbage that a young McCarthy will be ready to lead an NFL team next fall.

If the Vikings tell Cousins the plan is to draft McCarthy and school the former Wolverine for a couple of years, then Kirk would almost for sure take that deal if the other contract terms were agreeable. Then the Wilfs remain in their comfort zone of “competitive rebuild.”

How competitive will the team be if there is a Cousins return?  Much of that will be answered by if Hunter returns, a quality edge rusher is added or developed to complement him, and the GM finds some cornerbacks who can consistently tackle and not get lost in coverage.  And, oh yes, the miracle worker defensive coordinator, Brian Flores, returns rather than accepts another NFL job, possibly as a head coach.

Lots of “Purple” drama is coming in the offseason.

Comments Welcome

Cheery 2024 Predictions for Three with Twins Connections

Posted on January 3, 2024January 3, 2024 by David Shama

 

This could be a year to treasure for Twins ace Pablo López , outfield prospect Walker Jenkins and hometown hero Joe Mauer.

MLB.com authority Anthony Castrovince wrote recently that López is his choice for 2024 American League Cy Young winner.  He noted the 27-year-old right-hander pitched a career-high 194 innings in 2023, improved his strikes-walks ratio (struck out 234) and was “awesome” in two postseason starts against the Blue Jays and Astros going 2-0 with a 0.71 ERA.  Lopez’s regular season record was 11-8 in 32 starts with a 3.66 ERA.

Castrovince wrote: “…He might have only scratched the surface, because now that he’s added a sweeper that held opponents to a .173 average and .287 slugging percentage, he has a genuine five-pitch mix that could even improve in effectiveness as he gets more comfortable utilizing it.  López has the command to do so.  If he does, he’s a Cy winner waiting to happen.”

Jonathan Mayo and Jim Callis of MLB.com talked about Jenkins on a recent podcast. They predict big things for the 18-year-old who was Minnesota’s No. 1 draft selection last year. Callis believes Jenkins could be the No. 1 prospect in all of baseball for 2024.

The athletic Jenkins is a five-tool player who in coming years could become the Twins’ starter in right field or center field.  His impressive swing and power are attributes that often first draw attention, with observers raving about his potential.  The 6-foot-3, 210-pound Jenkins was taken fifth overall and he might be the steal of last year’s draft.

Jenkins didn’t sign his $7.1 million contract until late July, but he turned heads in the minors and perhaps will play in Double-A this year.  His stats last season with two farm system teams included 102 at bats, .362 batting average, three home runs, 21 RBI and a .988 OPS.

Mauer, the St. Paul native who excelled at first base and catcher for the Twins before retiring after the 2018 season, has been tracking well in votes for acceptance into the National Baseball Hall of Fame.  Select members of the Baseball Writers Association of America do the voting that ended December 31 and votes made public so far indicate there’s strong support for Mauer to be a first-ballot Hall of Famer.

Approximately 400 association members had an opportunity to vote.  A candidate must receive 75 percent or more of the votes and Mauer has impressive credentials.

In addition to Mauer’s three batting titles and MVP Award, he was named to six American League All-Star teams, earned five Louisville Slugger Awards and three Rawlings Golden Glove Awards. He is also the only American League catcher ever to win a batting title.

Voting results will be announced beginning at 5 p.m. January 23 on the MLB Network.

Worth Noting

Kirk Cousins

Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins continues to progress on rehab from Achilles tendon surgery and NBC reported Sunday night that he expects to go from just walking to jogging by February 1.

Who starts for the Vikings at QB in the final regular season game Sunday in Detroit against the Lions? The prediction here is Nick Mullens because he has played more recently than Josh Dobbs and better than Jaren Hall.

Word has been Michigan quarterback J.J. McCarthy is a target for the Vikings in April’s NFL Draft.  His passing accuracy might be questionable, and he wasn’t that impressive in the high stakes semifinal playoff win over Alabama Monday night.  He looks far from ready to play in the pros and maybe not first round worthy.

John Anderson

A trusted source believes Bethel’s Brian Raabe, who has coached the Royals for 12 seasons and is known for his prowess as a baseball instructor, could be the next head coach replacing legendary John Anderson who is retiring after the 2024 season.

The Gophers, seeking to add experience to their running back roster, have offered a scholarship to Northwestern transfer Anthony Tyus III.  As a junior in 2023, he was third on the team in rushing yards with 254 and averaged 4.8 yards per carry. The Portage, Michigan native was an Associated Press first team All-State selection in high school.

That was former Gopher defensive tackle Trill Carter playing for Texas Monday night in the Longhorns’ semifinal playoff game against Washington. He didn’t record any defensive stats but has been a contributor for Texas while participating in 13 of 14 games.

Among Gophers who transferred after 2022, no one was more recognized for his accomplishments with his new team than cornerback Beanie Bishop Jr.  He was named to the American Football Coaches Association All-American second team and was first team All-Big 12.

Former Gopher edge rusher Austin Booker, who led Kansas with eight sacks for 61 yards, also made first-team All-Big 12.  Defensive lineman Gage Keys also transferred from Minnesota to Kansas and played a lot of snaps in 2023 before recently deciding to play for Auburn in 2024.

Running back Trey Potts and wide receiver Dylan Wright were highly visible offensive players for the Gophers before transferring.  Potts was fifth for Penn State in rushing with 155 net yards while Wright caught 11 passes for 187 yards at TCU.

Think there will be a little drama November 9 when the Gophers play at Rutgers if their former quarterback, Athan Kaliakmanis, is playing for the Scarlet Knights?

It might not be widely known but the Gophers weren’t the first college football team from Minnesota to play in a January bowl game when they met Washington in the Rose Bowl on January 2, 1961. This college football bowl season is the 75th anniversary of St. Thomas’ 1949 trip to the Cigar Bowl in Tampa where the Tommies tied Missouri Valley, 13-13. http://tommiesports.com

The Michigan basketball team the Gophers (10-3) play in Ann Arbor Thursday night is the only Big Ten club with a below .500 record at 6-7.  The Wolverines are giving up a conference worst 79.1 points per game.  Peacock televises  the game starting at 8 p.m.

Hit by injuries, including star forward Kirill Kaprizov and goalie Filip Gustavsson, the Wild has lost three consecutive games and has to find a way not to go on a long losing streak.

In a state where many residents claim Norwegian descent, it’s interesting the Wild’s Mats Zuccarello is one of only eight players from Norway ever to play in the NHL.  Norwegian Americans are 13.8 percent of Minnesota’s population, per Worldpopulationreview.com.

The Pelicans, who play the Timberwolves tonight in Minneapolis, are a difficult team for Minnesota when forward Zion Williamson plays.  The Pels played last night and it could be Willamson is rested tonight by sitting out the game.

3 comments

Basketball Authority Thinks U Can Avoid Big Ten Cellar

Posted on December 5, 2023December 5, 2023 by David Shama

 

Jim Dutcher coached the 1982 University of Minnesota basketball team to the Big Ten Conference regular season championship, and he remains an authority on college hoops watching a lot of Big Ten and national games. He believes five programs are among the most likely to finish last in the 14-team conference: Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, Penn State and Rutgers.  Many prognosticators have the Gophers finishing in the cellar.

Coach Ben Johnson’s first two Minnesota teams placed last in the standings, but this season’s roster could be built to avoid a third consecutive embarrassment. When Dutcher was asked about impressions of the 5-3 (overall record) Golden Gophers, he referred to the past and said: “I think (the) talent (is) much better, particularly up front.  Their front line when they have (Dawson) Garcia and (Pharrel) Payne and (Joshua) Ola-Joseph is pretty impressive.  Still have some trouble with guard play, turning the ball over too much, but there is some talent there.”

The three big men mentioned haven’t been starting together, with Payne coming off the bench, but that could be changing.  More on the starting lineup later.

Dawson, the junior forward-center from Savage, is tied for second in scoring among Big Ten players.  He and Tyson Walker of Michigan State are averaging 20.5 points per game.

Dawson had a career-high 36 points in Sunday night’s opening Big Ten game against Ohio State in Columbus.  Dawson was particularly effective inside the lane, scoring on nifty moves near the rim. Now he could be poised for another big game Wednesday night in the conference home opener against Nebraska.

Dutcher told Sports Headliners coach Fred Hoiberg’s Cornhuskers, who were 9-11 in the Big Ten last season, have improved but he identified a flaw that could work in Dawson’s favor.  “Their weakness is still their inside defense and that is certainly a strength of Minnesota.  Garcia is as good as I’ve seen there in a while.  He’s not only good, he’s real good.”

Jim Dutcher

Dutcher thinks Minnesota and Nebraska are competitively matched. The Huskers are 7-1 on the season but haven’t played a formidable schedule as is true for most Big Ten teams at this time in the fall.  In their biggest test, they lost 89-60 to nationally-ranked Creighton in Omaha on Sunday.  “I’ll pick us here (in Minneapolis) and I would have taken Nebraska at Nebraska,” Dutcher said.

Circling back to Minnesota’s front line, Dutcher sees improvement in sophomores Payne and Ola-Joseph. Their athleticism is evident every time they step on the court and both have the potential to impact the game in Minnesota’s favor offensively and defensively.

The Gopher backcourt, however, is problematic too much of the time.  “As the year goes on, you’ll see some improvement in their guard play,” Dutcher said. “Right now, it’s just the case of too many turnovers at crucial times that keeps them in hot water.”

The Gophers are averaging a conference worst 14.1 turnovers per game.  Their turnover margin per game against opponents is -3.00.  Those numbers, BTW, have been compiled against mediocre, or worse, competition.  Dutcher’s view: if the Gophers solve their turnover issues “they could be very competitive.”

Another offensive issue is lack of ball movement.  “Their point guard (Elijah Hawkins) over dribbles the ball,” Dutcher said.  “Anytime the guard is dribbling around, everyone else is standing.  So a little bit better ball movement (is needed).  Ben knows that and their staff knows that and they’re working to improve it.”

It’s not just been Hawkins (the starter) who hasn’t given the Gophers enough playmaking at guard. Mike Mitchell Jr., a transfer like Hawkins, and Braeden Carrington haven’t’ excelled in playmaking either.

The Gophers need improvement defensively, too.  In their 84-74 loss to Ohio State, they trailed 42-28 at halftime and while they played better in the second half the Gophers couldn’t make the big defensive stops when needed.

Minnesota is 11th in the conference giving up 68.8 points per game.  In their three losses (including Missouri and San Francisco) the Gophers have yielded 70 points or more.

Johnson shortened his rotation in the second half Sunday night, and it helped.  More playing time for his better players seems likely Wednesday night.  There also could be a starting lineup change with Payne or freshman Cam Christie replacing forward Isaiah Ihnen who is scoreless in the last three games and twice has finished with no rebounds and no assists.  He also struggled defensively in the Ohio State game.

Worth Noting

Want to see textbook defense? Watch last Saturday’s Virginia-Syracuse game and the performance of former St. Thomas star Andrew Rohde.  The 6-6 guard was superb in individual and team defense for Virginia, consistently moving his feet to maintain position and using his arms and body correctly while having ball awareness.

The Brookfield, Wisconsin native has started all eight games for Virginia and is fifth on the team in scoring at 7.4 points per game. A sophomore, he leads the Cavs in assists with 22.

Chris Finch

A reminder came yesterday that there have been a lot of unsuccessful seasons for the Timberwolves when Chris Finch was honored as the NBA’s Western Conference Coach of the Month for October and November—the first Wolves coach to be so recognized since Kevin McHale in 2009. Finch got the Wolves off to a 14-4 start in the first two months of the season.

Gophers football fans who want to attend Minnesota’s Quick Lane Bowl game in Detroit against Bowling Green on December 26 don’t have to miss Christmas at home.  Steve and Dorothy Erban’s Creative Charters is offering a same day round-trip for $329 per person that includes flight and ground transportation.  Anyone who does comparative shopping will see that’s a real bargain.

What’s the “over-under” for the number of Vikings fans who will attend Sunday’s game in Las Vegas between Minnesota and the Raiders? I’ll go with 7,000 in Sin City.

Season grades so far for Vikings’ starting offensive linemen by Pro Football Focus: left tackle Christian Darrisaw, 85; right tackle Brian O’Neill, 74.7; center Garrett Bradbury, 65.1; right guard Ed Ingram, 61.4; left guard Dalton Risner, 53.

Congratulations to St. Thomas athletics director Phil Esten for being named by Twin Cities Business as one of the “100 people to know in 2024.”  The list recognizes achievers in the state expected to be newsmakers and change leaders during the coming year.

CBS ended its telecast schedule of SEC football games last Saturday, an association that started in 1996.  Legendary play-by-play voices through the years were both native Minnesotans, Verne Lundquist and Brad Nessler.  Two of the best, along with Keith Jackson, to ever call college football games.

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