Luka Doncic’s health may determine the fate of the Timberwolves in the Western Conference Finals. The Mavericks’ superstar guard has been laboring in the playoffs with a right knee sprain and left ankle soreness.
At times Doncic moves with a slight limp. He is also frequently seen bent over in apparent exhaustion from his max minutes and pain.
After last night’s heroics while making a three-point shot to defeat the Wolves 109-108 at Target Center, Doncic was asked on TNT’s postgame show about his health. He told Ernie Johnson it was good. “I will play no matter what,” said Doncic whose physical style of play sometimes has him sprawled on the floor.
That’s the uber competitor talking but there are limits to what even a superbly conditioned 25-year-old can endure. Not saying it’s gong to happen but as the Mavericks, up 2-0 in the best of seven series get ready to host Game 3 tomorrow night in Dallas, there’s no guarantee Doncic’s injuries won’t worsen—or something new may happen to prevent him from being on the court.
The Wolves’ chances in the series have come down to not only correcting their own flaws but the possibility of benefiting from an ailing Doncic who is limited in his movement or unable to play at all. Doncic has carved up the Wolves in the first two games, scoring 65 points, while totaling 16 rebounds and 21 assists (passing with shades of Magic and Pistol Pete).
Minnesota so far has no answer for the 6-foot-7, 230-pound Slovenian who finished No. 3 in NBA voting for MVP. He has scored inside and out, while frustrating the Wolves with deft passing all over the court. His alley-oops to teammates in the lane have given the Mavs consistent offense in both games, and when it’s not Doncic in action it’s fellow superstar guard Kyrie Irving doing the damage.
Doncic’s menacing presence has even shown up on defense. Not known as a standout defensively, he has a talent for anticipating passing lanes, intercepting the ball and often starting a fast break.
For all of Doncic’s heroic play and stellar contributions by teammates including the electric Irving, the Mavs have won two games by a total of four points. The Wolves entered the series as betting favorites and the close losses in the first two games are a reminder (we shouldn’t need one) the playoffs are unpredictable.
As recently as their last playoff series the Wolves jumped to a 2-0 lead by winning opening games in Denver against the defending NBA champion Nuggets. Then Minnesota lost three consecutive games only to win two straight, including their dramatic Game 7 win in Denver.
The Mavs aren’t dominating the Wolves and seem unlikely to win the next two games, even as the home court advantage moves to Dallas (Game 4 Tuesday night). The Wolves can and will make adjustments after they blew a five-point lead in the closing minutes last night in a game where they led by 18 in the second quarter. Suggestions from this “bench:”
Replace Jaden McDaniels with Anthony Edwards as the primary defender on Doncic. Daniels is a terrific defensive player, but Edwards is superlative, too, and is about 40 pounds heavier. Edwards’ strength is a better match against the muscular Doncic.
Irving has scored 50 points in the series. At 6-9, with long arms and mobility, McDaniels can cause problems for the 6-1 Irving who has scored 50 points in the series and can ignite sustained offensive runs for Dallas.
Edwards has to do better than 40 points in the first two games (making 11 of 33 field goals). One adjustment is to prioritize getting Edwards off to fast starts in the first half, bolstering his rhythm and confidence. Throughout the game the Wolves need to put the basketball more in his hands, letting him make plays for himself and others.
Karl-Anthony Towns has 31 points in the two games, making 10 of 36 field goals. The world knows there’s no such thing as consistency in the playoffs from KAT, who is now in his ninth NBA season. But it would help if the Wolves regularly posted him near the basket and let him shoot over defenders, providing higher percentage scoring opportunities and drawing fouls on Dallas front court players.
If “bad” KAT shows up tomorrow night, don’t hesitate to give max minutes to NBA Sixth Man of the Year Naz Reid. He made seven of nine three-point attempts while scoring 23 points off the bench in Friday night’s loss, while KAT sat and watched.
Maverick centers Daniel Gafford and Dereck Lively II can be subpar free throw shooters. Hacking them in the two to five minutes period in the fourth quarter could be a targeted strategy paying off in close games for the Wolves.
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