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Category: Vikings

Don’t Bet Against Kirk Cousins Comeback

Posted on January 30, 2024 by David Shama

 

Kirk Cousins had serious but successful surgery on his right Achilles tendon almost three months ago. At age 35, there is reason to be concerned about future performance by the Vikings’ soon to be free agent quarterback regardless of who he plays for next season.

How will his on-field mobility be?  Hardly a turf-field dancer during his 12 season NFL career, a more limited Cousins could be a stationary target and easy prey in the pocket next fall. That status would make Cousins less productive and potentially prone to injuries including a concussion.  Best case scenario might be okay maneuverability next season, with improvement the year after.

Kirk Cousins

There is also a possibility of re-injury to the Achilles. That development would almost assuredly end Cousins’ career which other than last fall has been one of good fortune and durability. Even a less than stable right leg could lessen Cousins’ trademark arm strength.

Advances in surgery and rehabilitation have changed the outcomes of serious lower leg injuries for NFL players. The greatest quarterback of all time, Tom Brady, recovered from ACL knee surgery in 2008 and played 14 more seasons.  Adrian Peterson, the Vikings GOAT RB, injured his left knee in late 2011 and recovered from ACL surgery to have one of his best seasons in 2012.

However, Achilles tendon surgery is generally considered more problematic than ACL knee surgery for a football player.  Rams’ running back Cam Akers, though, made a recovery in less than six months a couple of years ago, shaving multiple months off his scheduled return to the field.  Reports now on the recovery by Jets’ quarterback Aaron Rodgers after his 2023 Achilles tendon surgery are cheery and basketball players like Kevin Durant also have success stories following the potential career-threatening injury.

Cousins is a high character athlete who will follow advice and instruction at a GOAT level.  He will use intelligence, common sense, work ethic and determination to provide himself with the best possible recovery outcome.  He told NBC a while ago he expects to go from walking to jogging by February 1.

Cousins built his reputation as a top-twelve NFL quarterback on his strong arm, accuracy and football intelligence.  Never considered a scrambling or running threat, Cousins does need to achieve mobility and lower body strength similar to the past to make his comeback successful. It’s reasonable–with no guarantees—to think of a recovery timeline that allows him to be on the field when the NFL schedule starts up next September.

Don’t bet against him regardless of where he calls home later in 2024.

Worth Noting

NFC North Division rivals Detroit and Green Bay are reminding Vikings fans of the alternatives in building quarterback success.

The division champion Lions have an eight-year career veteran in Jared Goff.  He is similar in experience, league quarterback reputation and skill set to Cousins.  The Lions have built an impressive total team and coaching support around Goff that could lead them to a Super Bowl in 2025. The Vikings? Much more of a long shot, although a healthy Cousins and significantly improved defensive personnel would shorten the odds.

The Packers have employed three starting quarterbacks in the last 31 years. The GB way is to identify quarterback potential and develop it.  Aaron Rodgers sat for three seasons behind starter Brett Favre.  After Rodgers left for the Jets in the 2023 off-season, the Packers turned to Jordan Love who had also been in development for three seasons.  Love’s hot finish in his first year as a starter almost got the Packers to the NFC championship game this month.

It’s looking like much-admired Vikings defensive coordinator Brian Flores will not be hired away for a head coaching job. Flores, the Dolphins former head coach, has a discrimination lawsuit against the NFL and three of its teams that remains unsettled. His return for at least one more season will be a major plus for Minnesota.

Gabriel Gonzalez, 20, the outfielder who the Twins acquired from the Mariners yesterday as one of four players coming to Minneapolis in return for second baseman Jorge Polanco is only 5-10 and 165-pounds, but he has surprising power and could turn out to be the gem of the trade for Minnesota.  In 477 at bats in the low minors last year he hit 18 home runs.

Minnesota Wild general manager Bill Guerin, speaking before a gathering of more than 300 at the Minnesota Breakfast Club in Naples, Florida this month, talked candidly about his disappointing team.  The Wild currently has 47 points, the second lowest total in the eight-team Central Division and is 5-9 this month including a two-game losing streak.

Guerin & Tanick

In the fall Minnesota had been forecast as a solid bet for the playoffs but prospects are iffy now.  Breakfast attendee Marshall Tanick emailed Sports Headliners that Guerin said his in-season head coaching hire John Hynes (who replaced Dean Evason) is a “very detailed, very organized guy” who will help players in their preparations and performances.

Positives this season, per Guerin, include 39-year-old Marc-Andre Fleury becoming the second winningest all-time NHL goalie and the play of former Gopher defenseman Brock Faber who is impressing after joining the Wild for two games last spring.

Entertaining storyteller Bob Hagan, who for many years headed the Vikings’ public relations department, is the latest guest on Behind the Game with co-host Patrick Klinger and Dave Boden.  Hagan, whose well-known quip at news conferences was “time for two more,” talks on the show about a career that made him one of the NFL’s well-known team communications leaders. https://youtu.be/maTN5BM4c4o.

Condolences to the family and friends of Phil Frerk who passed away from congestive heart failure earlier this month.  He coached St. Louis Park girls’ basketball teams to state championships in 1986 and 1990.  In retirement, the mild-mannered Frerk helped lead the CORES organization that hosted prominent speakers at luncheon gatherings in Bloomington.  CORES is an acronym for coaches, officials, reporters, educators and sports fans.

Birthday club: Former Gophers All-American tight end and 1970s Viking Doug Kingsriter turned 74 yesterday, January 29.  Authoritative Star Tribune Gopher basketball beat reporter Marcus Fuller celebrated his 45th birthday last week.

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Vikes & Fans Will Be Immersed in Off-Season Drama

Posted on January 8, 2024January 8, 2024 by David Shama

 

Now the Great Quarterback Watch begins.  “Purple Nation” waits in anticipation the next few months to learn how the Vikings intend to solve their quarterback dilemma and who will lead the offense next season.

Fairly or not, the result may define the general manager era of Kwesi Adofo-Mensah. Why fairly? Because it may not be known for a while if the Wilf ownership group dictates a strategy that the franchise’s inexperienced GM disagrees with but is forced to carry out.

The Wilfs have declined past purges of the roster and the resulting long-term strategy to rebuild the club.  Their “competitive rebuild” approach of recent years dictates roster patching with a minimum goal of qualifying for the playoffs.

The Wilfs want badly to win the Super Bowl.  Zygi Wilf, often seen as ownership’s leader, is a serious football fan who is pained by Vikings losses. The Wilf family has stepped up with a willingness to provide the resources needed for a successful franchise including the state-of-the-art practice facility in Eagan and downtown’s U.S. Bank Stadium.

The guess here is ownership will have to be talked out of re-signing free agent Kirk Cousins if Adofo-Mensah wants to go in a new direction.  If Cousins recovers by next fall from his right Achilles tendon tear last October, the offense could be among the best in the NFL.  The Wilfs may take that position and argue the defense can be patched up through the NFL Draft and free agency.

The result? A likely playoff team emerging from a competitive NFC North Division but not an elite group.

Cousins is all but certain to favor staying in Minnesota.  The 35-year-old likes Kevin O’Connell personally and likes the head coach’s offensive system.  That system is not an easy one to master but can produce high scoring results.  Cousins has about two years invested in the system, and it makes more sense to enjoy the rewards of familiarity rather than the challenge of starting over.

Kirk Cousins

And how could Cousins not want to stay here and enjoy the company of pass receivers Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and T.J. Hockenson? Jefferson, a superstar, has 11 career games with at least 150 yards in his first four seasons and that’s an NFL record.  As a rookie this fall Addison emerged as a talented big play target and complement to Jefferson at wide receiver.  Although Hockenson is a tight end, he is also a deep and intermediate threat.

Signing Cousins will be expensive but it’s safe wagering money to think he will demand less money from the Vikings than a rival organization chasing him. Cousins might be willing to accept compensation of $30 to $40 million on a two-year deal.  The length of the contract could be a challenge for both Cousins and any front office that pursues him.

But that’s not to minimize the importance and amount of money the Vikings must be accountable for to their owners and NFL salary cap.  Adofo-Mensah will have payroll challenges including with Jefferson who is in line for a deal that annually will rival Cousins.  The Vikings have a long list of free agents including starters and headed by sack artist and defensive end Danielle Hunter who will be looking for a per yearly deal of perhaps $20 million.

Because of their 7-10 season, the Vikings will draft at No. 11 in the first round of April’s NFL Draft.  They could decide to say no thanks to Cousins and draft a quarterback with the intent of starting the rookie next fall.  That says rebuild and a focus on the playoffs in a couple of years.

At No. 11 the Vikings might put a trade package together and jump up even further in the draft.  That might ensure the Vikes can select one of the top quarterbacks in the draft and may ultimately be their strategy.

There are six quarterbacks who could go in the first round: Caleb Williams, USC; Drake Maye, North Carolina; Jayden Daniels, LSU; Michael Penix Jr., Washington; Bo Nix, Oregon; and J.J. McCarthy, Michigan.  At least a couple of them will likely still be available at No. 11.

However, the catch is it looks like there’s a gap in desirability right now between the first four and the last two quarterbacks. Nix, who turns 24 next month, may not appeal to the Vikings who could prefer McCarthy if positioned to choose between the two and failing to move up in the draft order. McCarthy is as athletic or more so than his prolific rivals, has played in a more conservative offense and is perhaps more intriguing because at 20 years old he is the youngest of them.

Williams, Maye, Daniels and Penix could be year-one starters, with the outlook more uncertain for Nix.  Don’t wager anything other than yesterday’s garbage that a young McCarthy will be ready to lead an NFL team next fall.

If the Vikings tell Cousins the plan is to draft McCarthy and school the former Wolverine for a couple of years, then Kirk would almost for sure take that deal if the other contract terms were agreeable. Then the Wilfs remain in their comfort zone of “competitive rebuild.”

How competitive will the team be if there is a Cousins return?  Much of that will be answered by if Hunter returns, a quality edge rusher is added or developed to complement him, and the GM finds some cornerbacks who can consistently tackle and not get lost in coverage.  And, oh yes, the miracle worker defensive coordinator, Brian Flores, returns rather than accepts another NFL job, possibly as a head coach.

Lots of “Purple” drama is coming in the offseason.

Comments Welcome

Cheery 2024 Predictions for Three with Twins Connections

Posted on January 3, 2024January 3, 2024 by David Shama

 

This could be a year to treasure for Twins ace Pablo López , outfield prospect Walker Jenkins and hometown hero Joe Mauer.

MLB.com authority Anthony Castrovince wrote recently that López is his choice for 2024 American League Cy Young winner.  He noted the 27-year-old right-hander pitched a career-high 194 innings in 2023, improved his strikes-walks ratio (struck out 234) and was “awesome” in two postseason starts against the Blue Jays and Astros going 2-0 with a 0.71 ERA.  Lopez’s regular season record was 11-8 in 32 starts with a 3.66 ERA.

Castrovince wrote: “…He might have only scratched the surface, because now that he’s added a sweeper that held opponents to a .173 average and .287 slugging percentage, he has a genuine five-pitch mix that could even improve in effectiveness as he gets more comfortable utilizing it.  López has the command to do so.  If he does, he’s a Cy winner waiting to happen.”

Jonathan Mayo and Jim Callis of MLB.com talked about Jenkins on a recent podcast. They predict big things for the 18-year-old who was Minnesota’s No. 1 draft selection last year. Callis believes Jenkins could be the No. 1 prospect in all of baseball for 2024.

The athletic Jenkins is a five-tool player who in coming years could become the Twins’ starter in right field or center field.  His impressive swing and power are attributes that often first draw attention, with observers raving about his potential.  The 6-foot-3, 210-pound Jenkins was taken fifth overall and he might be the steal of last year’s draft.

Jenkins didn’t sign his $7.1 million contract until late July, but he turned heads in the minors and perhaps will play in Double-A this year.  His stats last season with two farm system teams included 102 at bats, .362 batting average, three home runs, 21 RBI and a .988 OPS.

Mauer, the St. Paul native who excelled at first base and catcher for the Twins before retiring after the 2018 season, has been tracking well in votes for acceptance into the National Baseball Hall of Fame.  Select members of the Baseball Writers Association of America do the voting that ended December 31 and votes made public so far indicate there’s strong support for Mauer to be a first-ballot Hall of Famer.

Approximately 400 association members had an opportunity to vote.  A candidate must receive 75 percent or more of the votes and Mauer has impressive credentials.

In addition to Mauer’s three batting titles and MVP Award, he was named to six American League All-Star teams, earned five Louisville Slugger Awards and three Rawlings Golden Glove Awards. He is also the only American League catcher ever to win a batting title.

Voting results will be announced beginning at 5 p.m. January 23 on the MLB Network.

Worth Noting

Kirk Cousins

Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins continues to progress on rehab from Achilles tendon surgery and NBC reported Sunday night that he expects to go from just walking to jogging by February 1.

Who starts for the Vikings at QB in the final regular season game Sunday in Detroit against the Lions? The prediction here is Nick Mullens because he has played more recently than Josh Dobbs and better than Jaren Hall.

Word has been Michigan quarterback J.J. McCarthy is a target for the Vikings in April’s NFL Draft.  His passing accuracy might be questionable, and he wasn’t that impressive in the high stakes semifinal playoff win over Alabama Monday night.  He looks far from ready to play in the pros and maybe not first round worthy.

John Anderson

A trusted source believes Bethel’s Brian Raabe, who has coached the Royals for 12 seasons and is known for his prowess as a baseball instructor, could be the next head coach replacing legendary John Anderson who is retiring after the 2024 season.

The Gophers, seeking to add experience to their running back roster, have offered a scholarship to Northwestern transfer Anthony Tyus III.  As a junior in 2023, he was third on the team in rushing yards with 254 and averaged 4.8 yards per carry. The Portage, Michigan native was an Associated Press first team All-State selection in high school.

That was former Gopher defensive tackle Trill Carter playing for Texas Monday night in the Longhorns’ semifinal playoff game against Washington. He didn’t record any defensive stats but has been a contributor for Texas while participating in 13 of 14 games.

Among Gophers who transferred after 2022, no one was more recognized for his accomplishments with his new team than cornerback Beanie Bishop Jr.  He was named to the American Football Coaches Association All-American second team and was first team All-Big 12.

Former Gopher edge rusher Austin Booker, who led Kansas with eight sacks for 61 yards, also made first-team All-Big 12.  Defensive lineman Gage Keys also transferred from Minnesota to Kansas and played a lot of snaps in 2023 before recently deciding to play for Auburn in 2024.

Running back Trey Potts and wide receiver Dylan Wright were highly visible offensive players for the Gophers before transferring.  Potts was fifth for Penn State in rushing with 155 net yards while Wright caught 11 passes for 187 yards at TCU.

Think there will be a little drama November 9 when the Gophers play at Rutgers if their former quarterback, Athan Kaliakmanis, is playing for the Scarlet Knights?

It might not be widely known but the Gophers weren’t the first college football team from Minnesota to play in a January bowl game when they met Washington in the Rose Bowl on January 2, 1961. This college football bowl season is the 75th anniversary of St. Thomas’ 1949 trip to the Cigar Bowl in Tampa where the Tommies tied Missouri Valley, 13-13. http://tommiesports.com

The Michigan basketball team the Gophers (10-3) play in Ann Arbor Thursday night is the only Big Ten club with a below .500 record at 6-7.  The Wolverines are giving up a conference worst 79.1 points per game.  Peacock televises  the game starting at 8 p.m.

Hit by injuries, including star forward Kirill Kaprizov and goalie Filip Gustavsson, the Wild has lost three consecutive games and has to find a way not to go on a long losing streak.

In a state where many residents claim Norwegian descent, it’s interesting the Wild’s Mats Zuccarello is one of only eight players from Norway ever to play in the NHL.  Norwegian Americans are 13.8 percent of Minnesota’s population, per Worldpopulationreview.com.

The Pelicans, who play the Timberwolves tonight in Minneapolis, are a difficult team for Minnesota when forward Zion Williamson plays.  The Pels played last night and it could be Willamson is rested tonight by sitting out the game.

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