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Category: Recruiting

Ranking the Big Ten Football Coaches

Posted on July 20, 2021 by David Shama

 

The 14 Big Ten head football coaches gather in Indianapolis this week to preview their teams to the media. As usual, they will talk with excitement and optimism about the coming season. They may boast how well winter conditioning went, what a success spring practice was and how solid the culture is inside their programs. Somebody might make a bad joke like this: “The alumni are with me, win or tie.”

Of more interest to this writer is who the best coaches in the conference are. And who belongs in the middle and at the bottom of the rankings. I am rating the coaches 1-14 in what is both an objective and subjective exercise.

Wins and losses are part of the criteria, but to be fair any evaluator has to consider how difficult the assignment is at every program. Each program is at least somewhat different, with pluses and minuses, with certain places certainly easier to win at than others. Much has to be considered including a coach’s access to nearby high school talent and his financial budget for the program. How does a coach compare with predecessors at his school? What is the quality of the coach’s assistants? Does the program impress in its development of players? On gamedays does the head coach have strategic meltdowns, or rise to the occasion?

Head coaches who rank high have their programs trending upward. A bad run of luck for a couple of years could result in more criticism than deserved. Maybe the best of all criteria is answering this question: Who is the coach you would want leading your favorite Big Ten team?

In ranking the 14 head coaches it’s easier assigning places at both the top and bottom positions. Probably a coin flip ranking several coaches assigned to the middle spots of the list. So rather than keep you breathlessly waiting, here goes the first annual(?) Sports Headliners rankings of Big Ten head football coaches (first to last).

1. Pat Fitzgerald, Northwestern. Oh, how everyone wishes the Evanston miracle worker coached their team. During much of Big Ten history Northwestern football has been the pits. High academic standards, recruiting problems, atrocious fan support and private school status have been road blocks to success. But Fitz, who could leave in a heartbeat for other college or NFL jobs, overcomes with teams who play smart and hard. The Wildcats won the Big Ten West Division last season and are one of four conference programs to make multiple appearances in the Big Ten Championship game. The Cats are 22-13 in league games in the last four years.

2. Kirk Ferentz, Iowa. No current major college head football coach has been at his school longer than Ferentz who took over at Iowa for the 1999 season. The state of Iowa is not a football hotbed for prep players and the Hawkeyes have to fight off rival Iowa State for talent but they keep winning because Ferentz and his staff excel at developing personnel. The Hawks haven’t had a losing season since 2012 and that streak helps define the consistency of Ferentz and his program. The Hawkeyes were 10-3 two years ago and despite the pandemic 6-2 last season. His 168 wins rank fourth all-time in Big Ten history.

3. Greg Schiano, Rutgers. When Minnesota AD Mark Coyle fired Tracy Claeys in late 2016 there were two replacements I thought would both excel in coaching the Gophers and be willing to take the job—Schiano and P.J. Fleck. Schiano was working as an assistant at Ohio State but it was his success years prior at Rutgers that had caught the attention of the college football world. Before Schiano got to Rutgers for the 2001 season, the place was a graveyard for coaching careers. But Schiano coached the Scarlet Knights to three nine-win seasons before he mistakenly left for an NFL head job after the 2011 season. He was the 2006 National Coach of the Year. This fall he starts his second season of rebuilding the Rutgers program again.

4. Tom Allen, Indiana. This is another story of a coach who has done a lot where others have failed. Historically, Indiana, Northwestern and Rutgers are three of college football’s bottom feeders. Allen gets his teams to overachieve and they don’t play scared even in big games. The last two seasons the Hoosiers have been 8-5 and 6-2 (6-1 in the Big Ten). In January the team had a No. 12 final ranking from the Associated Press, the school’s best since No. 4 in 1967. Indiana has played in consecutive January bowl games for the first time in school history. Allen, a state of Indiana native, is seen as genuine to the core by his players.

5. Ryan Day, Ohio State. The Buckeyes have been a Big Ten powerhouse forever, and the program has so many resources your grandmother could win a league title or two over a 10-year stretch. However, in two seasons in Columbus, Day has shown he is more than a caretaker. He is undefeated in Big Ten games and 23-2 overall while recruiting five-star high school players at a pace helping the Buckeyes maintain their lofty position with the Alabamas, Clemsons and Georgias of the college football world. Day is bright and so is his staff. The result? Ohio State scares the hell out of opponents.

P.J. Fleck

6. P.J. Fleck, Minnesota. Pro Football Focus ranks him the 20th best coach in the country. Fitzgerald at No. 6 is the only Big Ten West Division coach ahead of him. At Western Michigan Fleck led one of the more memorable turnarounds in college football history. In 2013, his first season, the Broncos were 1-11, but ended the 2016 season with a No. 12 national ranking, a 13-1 record, a conference championship and a close loss to Wisconsin in the Cotton Bowl. Fleck’s 2019 Gophers won 11 games for the first time at Minnesota since 1904 and he impressed with his coaching including a January 1 Outback Bowl win over the SEC’s Auburn Tigers. Minnesota had a school record seven league wins in 2019, but in three of Fleck’s other four seasons in Minneapolis he has had losing Big Ten records. Cut Fleck and his staff slack for trying to rebuild the defense during the restrictions of the pandemic last year (3-4 season record). Clearly 2021 will be a pivotal season for Fleck’s reputation as a program savior.

7. Jim Harbaugh, Michigan. I thought Harbaugh would be lights out at Michigan but failure to find a top quarterback during six seasons is at the top of his frustrations along with no wins against the Buckeyes. Yet Wolverine fans should put away their crying towels over Harbaugh who is 49-22 in Ann Arbor. He is one of four Big Ten coaches ever to win 10-plus games in their first two years. Harbaugh has won big at San Diego and Stanford in college football, and with the NFL’s San Francisco 49ers. At Michigan the talent is present to compete with the better programs in the country but the Wolverines, 21-12 in conference games the last four years, have to attain consistency on both sides of the ball.

8. Paul Chryst, Wisconsin. In the early 1990s coaching wizard Barry Alvarez came up with a blueprint for success at Wisconsin. His successors have followed the formula including development of behemoth offensive linemen and hard to handle running backs. There is a culture in Madison that is similar to the superb work ethic at Iowa and Northwestern. Chyrst, once an assistant to the legendary Alvarez, is smart enough to follow the master and in six years is 56-19. Contrast that with his performance at Pitt before coming to Madison: 19-20 record in three seasons. A gifted offensive mind, Chryst is a two-time Big Ten Coach of the Year but there is some apprehension in Madison after last season’s sluggish 4-3 record.

9. James Franklin, Penn State. At .667, Franklin has the third best winning percentage in the Big Ten during the last four seasons. Despite the usual high-end talent, last year was a disaster, beginning the season with five straight defeats before finishing 4-5. This was a poorly coached team in 2020. An anonymous college scout, quoted in Lindy’s Big Ten football magazine said “there are questions about Franklin as a gameday coach.” Franklin’s Nittany Lions did win the 2016 Big Ten title and his overall record in Happy Valley is 60-28. In early 2020 he hired highly thought of Gophers offensive coordinator Kirk Ciarroca and despite statistical success fired him after last season.

10. Bret Bielema, Illinois. He was the first of Alvarez’s successors at Wisconsin and went 68-24 from 2006-2012. In that stretch he won three Big Ten titles, went to six consecutive bowl games and proclaimed the Minneapolis area a major Wisconsin recruiting zone. The confident Bielema left Madison for a much richer contract at Arkansas where the Razorbacks mostly struggled and ultimately he was fired. With his Big Ten coaching background (including an assistant stop at Iowa), Bielema could be a great hire for underachieving Illinois which fired Lovie Smith after last season. This has become a difficult job but Bielema will have the Illini trending upward after the awful era under Smith.

11. Scott Frost, Nebraska. Before the 2018 season Cornhusker fans thought their native son would quickly restore glory to Nebraska football. Think again. He is 12-20 after three seasons and sitting on the hot seat in Lincoln where he now works for a new athletic director. Something is clearly amiss at Nebraska, although expectations shouldn’t be as lofty as the days of national titles in the last century. Frost was the consensus National Coach of the Year in 2017 when he led UCF to an unexpected 13-0 season. That team was explosive but Frost, a former quarterback known for his offensive acumen, hasn’t been able to create an identity and consistency on that side of the ball in Lincoln. It doesn’t help either that top offensive talent has transferred since last season.

12. Jeff Brohm, Purdue. In 2017 Brohm inherited a program that had a combined nine wins in the four previous seasons. He proceeded to win seven games including victories over state rival Indiana and a bowl win. The next season the Boilers had three wins over top 25 teams including a shocking victory at home over No. 2 Ohio State. The high-fiving among Boiler fans, though, is in decline because Brohm’s four-year record is 19-25. Questions have been raised about the Boilers being more about a flashy offense than a tough overall team. The initial buzz is gone in West Lafayette and this is a pivotal season for a program that was 2-4 last year.

13. Mel Tucker, Michigan State. He is no Mark Dantonio, and that’s not all damning since Tucker’s predecessor was among the national coaching elites and perhaps the Spartans’ best ever. Tucker was 2-5 in his first season in East Lansing and 5-7 during a 2019 season at Colorado. That is the extent of Tucker’s head coaching career that followed a decorated path as an assistant. He’s known as a top recruiter and defensive specialist. He worked as an assistant for Nick Saban, Kirby Smart, Jim Tressel and Dantonio. Tucker wasn’t hired until February of 2020, giving him a late start on the season ahead. Then his staff had to deal with the pandemic so it will be interesting to see what the Spartans can do in 2021.

14. Mike Locksley, Maryland. The good news for Terps fans is Locksley is an elite recruiter. The cautionary news is that in two-plus years with the Terps he is 6-17, and combined with his time at New Mexico as head coach he has a career record of 8-43. As Alabama’s co-offensive coordinator in 2018 he won the Broyles Award recognizing the nation’s top assistant coach. Multiple times in his coaching career he has been selected a top 25 national recruiter. The recruiting charm is evident in Locksley’s brief time at Maryland and he’s created expectations of top 20 recruiting classes. The Terps are more talented than they have been in awhile. Let’s see how the coaching goes.

Comments Welcome

U Basketball Ticket Sales Minimal

Posted on June 9, 2021June 9, 2021 by David Shama

 

The University of Minnesota athletic department sold 138 new public season tickets for men’s basketball from March 23 through May 23 of this year. There are 64 new accounts for the 138 total.

The information was emailed to Sports Headliners following a request to the U regarding current and past totals for season tickets. The March 23 date was a day after Ben Johnson was named head coach.

During past weeks the media has consistently provided coverage of the new basketball leadership and the athletic department has been promoting season ticket appeals via mass emails. The department has also worked at publicizing Johnson, his new assistants and new players. But all of this has prompted minimal season ticket commitment, and that shouldn’t surprise those interested in the program.

After Richard Pitino was fired in mid-March, Johnson was the hurried replacement choice of U president Joan Gabel. Johnson, a Minneapolis native and former Gopher guard known for his high character and likeability, arrived in March with no previous head coaching experience. The 40-year-old’s resume includes assistant roles at multiple schools, including two Big Ten jobs (the U and Nebraska) and one stop in the Big East. To most fans in the general public there isn’t enough excitement about the hire to ponder buying tickets, and the verdict on Johnson as a head coach won’t be known for at least a couple of years.

Since Johnson’s arrival there has been a near 100 percent turnover in the roster. Player turnover is always anticipated when coaching regimes change and in these times many college programs see a lot of flux because of the easy-to-use transfer portal. Those players moving on at Minnesota include the only two from last season’s team with ticket buying appeal, guard Marcus Carr and center Liam Robbins.

Most fans are unfamiliar with the present roster of players who have transferred to Minnesota. Early media predictions are for the Gophers to finish toward the bottom of the 14-team Big Ten next year. The 2021 club placed 13th in the standings with a 6-14 record.

The athletic department has a June 10 deadline for renewal of season tickets. In the days and weeks following the U will know whether the trend of recent years in declining sales will continue. The pandemic prevented fans from attending games last season but the three prior years the public season ticket totals were 5,944 (2019-2020), 6,155 and 6,524.

About 15 years ago season tickets totaled over 9,000. Long gone are the days when Gophers basketball was a tough ticket. Sellouts are rare at 14,625 seat Williams Arena. The average attendance of 10,232 for the 2019-2020 season was the lowest since 1970-1971.

In the glory days and winning years of the 1970s, 1980s and 1990s home sellouts were common and season tickets were even passed from one family to another. The Gophers back then were leaders in Big Ten attendance and basketball revenues (pricing tickets higher than most other programs). The decline now in season ticket sales is a blow to a cash-strapped, largely self-supporting athletic department that depends on the profit making sports of football, and men’s basketball and men’s hockey, to pay the bills.

The season ticket base that remains is an older demographic that remembers the successful programs of coaches Bill Musselman, Jim Dutcher and Clem Haskins. Those ticket buyers have remained loyal and stayed through the 21st century failed eras of coaches Dan Monson, Tubby Smith and Pitino. Others have given up their tickets, discouraged by the product on the court and preferred seating fees.

Younger ticket buyers are in the minority at Williams Arena, a near 100-year-old facility loved by many but disparaged by others. Buying season tickets requires a commitment of time and money that many Minnesotans aren’t willing to make right now for Gophers basketball.

The proof is in the numbers.

Worth Noting

Filling up Big Ten football stadiums is challenging. Despite a winning program and minimal competition for the sports dollar, Iowa is offering three-game mini-plans starting at $150.

Potential number: It might take a new deal that pays about $23 million in the first season to satisfy Vikings defensive end Danielle Hunter.

Among the over 100 campers at P.J. Fleck’s Minneapolis football camp last week was quarterback Kyle McCormick from California. While there are highly recruited high school players at camps like Fleck’s, many preps like McCormick are trying to get noticed.

“He (Kyle) absolutely loves P.J. Fleck and (offensive coordinator) Mike Sanford,” said Kyle’s dad. Lee McCormick, a 1980 graduate of Golden Valley High School, became a fan of Fleck when the Gopher head coach was leading Western Michigan to prominence.

Lee admires Fleck’s energy, values and success, and he told Sports Headliners it would be a “dream” to have Kyle, who has an offer from Yale, play for Minnesota. Kyle, a 6-foot-1, 190-pound pro style passer heading into his senior year, will compete for the starting quarterback job this summer at La Costa Canyon High School in San Diego County.

The Minnesota Football Coaches Association is hosting the 57th annual Football Hall of Fame August 13 at the Doubletree, 1500 Park Place Blvd. Inductees are Bill D. Bailey, Starbuck; Karl Deis, Mora; Terry Horan, Concordia College; Mike Plinske, Bethel University; Richard Robinson, Minneapolis North.

Karill Kaprizov

Minnesota Wild owner Craig Leipold talking about three key players his team plans to re-sign before training camp begins: “Kirill Kaprisov, (Kevin) Fiala, (Joel) Eriksson Ek are three players that you go, wow, what exciting players. What potential going forward.”

Two words not often associated with the NHL: Gentlemanly conduct. Minnesota Wild captain Jared Spurgeon is a finalist for The Lady Byng Memorial Trophy presented annually to an NHL player “adjudged to have exhibited the best type of sportsmanship and gentlemanly conduct combined with a high standard of playing ability.”

Comments Welcome

Vikes Likely to Revise Hunter Contract

Posted on June 2, 2021June 2, 2021 by David Shama

 

Danielle Hunter is the Minnesota Vikings’ defensive MVP. His value to the club is comparable to quarterback Kirk Cousins and running back Dalvin Cook.

But unlike Cousins and Cook, Hunter’s contract prompts concern about him remaining in Minnesota. The 26-year-old edge rusher is among the NFL’s best at what he does, but his contract doesn’t compare with peers at the position.

Could Hunter be a no-show at mandatory Viking practices this summer? Maybe, but it’s a smart bet the franchise does a redo on the $72 million contract that binds him to Minnesota through 2023. Head coach Mike Zimmer said today he hasn’t heard from Hunter who is absent from this week’s voluntary team activities.

Ownership, led by Zygi and Mark Wilf, have shown a commitment to win and spend money in support of facilities and players. They are passionate fans who want a Super Bowl team and have invested in U.S. Bank Stadium and Twin Cities Orthopedics Performance Center, while improving contracts of players like Cook and wide receiver Adam Thielen.

After missing last season with a neck injury, Hunter must show he is healthy and ready to resume peak performance. In 2018 and 2019 the former third round draft choice had consecutive seasons averaging 14.5 sacks. He established himself as a Pro Bowl quality pass rusher, with the promise of high production for many years.

Hunter’s edge rushing peers include seven players who have deals worth over $100 million. That’s per a July 20, 2020 SI.com story reporting on Joey Bosa’s $135 million new deal that came weeks after a $125 million contract for Myles Garrett. Hunter’s past performance exceeds players earning much more and he is more than a bargain—he’s a steal—with his current earnings.

NFL clubs are pushing their budgets on defensive ends because they can single handedly turn a game—or even a season—with a few crucial plays like sacking the quarterback or causing a fumble. In Hunter the Vikings have a talent who became the youngest player in NFL history to achieve 50 career sacks. He is also outstanding in defending the run.

The Wilfs aren’t likely to let a disgruntled Hunter force his way out of town. A revised and highly compensated new deal appears all but certain this year or next, unless an injury dictates otherwise.

Worth Noting

The current issue of Sports Illustrated offers a feature on Prince’s love of basketball including hosting a party after the 1994 NBA All-Star game in Minneapolis. At Paisley Park the flamboyant entertainer descended from the ceiling. “Something out of a movie,” Alonzo Mourning said in the article.

Target Center opened in 1990 and underwent extensive remodeling a few years ago but it doesn’t compare favorably with many of the “palaces” in the NBA. It could be potential new Minnesota Timberwolves owners will in a few years push for a new building, likely with the threat of relocating to another city.

In the late 1980s the Minnesota North Stars wanted about $11 million from the Minnesota Sports Facilities Commission to upgrade Met Center but it was a failed attempt. The franchise, under new ownership, relocated to Dallas in 1993. Long ago the Lakers left Minneapolis for Los Angeles because of lagging attendance and a facility issue.

Unruly fan behavior in the NBA has been making news of late. Anyone remember when what seemed like every Sunday in the 1960s someone threw a light bulb onto the floor at Boston Garden during national telecasts?

Gophers basketball coach Ben Johnson and staff remain in all-out recruiting mode to finalize next season’s roster that right now will struggle to compete in the Big Ten. Johnson is trying to shape a roster now and in future years with state of Minnesota players.

June and July are prime recruiting months for Gophers football coach P.J. Fleck and staff. Expect multiple verbal commits for the class of 2022 during the next several weeks. Minnesota’s class for next year, with five verbal commits, is currently ranked No. 35 nationally by 247Sports.

The Gophers’ subpar PAT and field goal kicking of last season will be much improved with the transfer of Kent State’s Matthew Trickett. As a sophomore in 2019 at Kent State he was first team All-MAC, and tied for the NCAA lead in field goals with 29. He had two game winning kicks. The Mid-American Conference cancelled its 2020 season due to the pandemic.

Bob Stein

Congratulations to former Gopher defensive end Bob Stein who will be inducted into the National Football Foundation’s College Football Hall of Fame December 7 in Las Vegas. Stein made All-American in 1967 and was a key contributor to Minnesota’s last Big Ten championship team. The St. Louis Park native was also an Academic All-American. University of Minnesota alum Mark Sheffert and the late Pat Fallon, the Minneapolis advertising whiz, advocated for Stein’s overdue recognition by the NFF.

With two PGA vice presidents of rules and competition retiring, it will be interesting to see how that could positively impact former Gopher and Viking Mark Dusbabek. The Faribault native has been a PGA rules official since 2006.

The St. Thomas team that rallied to win three games over the Memorial Day weekend and earned its way to the Division III Baseball World Series, plays an opening game against Adrian starting at 1:15 p.m. Friday in Cedar Rapids, Iowa.

Minnesota United, whose regular season schedule started in April and continues into November, has a long break after playing last Saturday with the next match June 19.

The Twin Cities Dunkers, after months of Zoom meetings, resumes in-person breakfasts in July with likely upcoming programs to include Gophers football and the 3M Open.

No update yet on a new contract for Gophers baseball coach John Anderson (see Monday’s Sports Headliners).

Comments Welcome

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