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Bowl Prospects Dim for Golden Gophers?

Posted on September 30, 2013September 30, 2013 by David Shama

 

What now for the Golden Gophers?

Passionate Gophers fans had a disappointing day on Saturday when Iowa defeated Minnesota 23-7.  It was a game many thought was a likely win because Iowa was coming off a 4-8 season and had lost its opening game to Northern Illinois.

Wrong assumption.

It was suggested here last Friday the Hawkeyes have better personnel than the Gophers.  Correct analysis.

The Hawkeyes dominated Minnesota starting with the line of scrimmage where Iowa’s superiority in offensive and defensive linemen was evident from the opening minutes of the game.  But the Hawkeyes were better in other positions, too, including linebackers, running backs, quarterbacks and wide receivers.

The Gophers came into the game 4-0 and need two more wins to be bowl eligible.  Iowa was supposed to be win No. 5, with the Hawkeyes projected among the most likely victims on Minnesota’s Big Ten Conference schedule.  Now, with seven league games remaining, all Gophers fans can do is cross their fingers the team can find a couple more wins.

Except for the November 2 game at Indiana, the Gophers will send inferior personnel onto the field in the weeks ahead.  And the Hoosiers might be Minnesota’s equal in talent, and will have home field advantage.  Assuming a victory against the Hoosiers is a mistake.

The Gophers play at Michigan on Saturday where the shaky but undefeated Wolverines are difficult to defeat.  Michigan has had two weeks to prepare for the game.  Then the Gophers have their own bye before playing in Evanston on October 19 against one of the best Northwestern teams in years.

Nebraska comes to TCF Bank Stadium on October 26 and the Gophers might have a chance for an upset against a Cornhuskers defense that can be clueless.  But don’t count on a win and for sure the Gophers face long odds against Wisconsin at home on November 23 and at Michigan State November 30.  A declining Penn State program (the Nittany Lions are at TCF Bank Stadium on November 9) might provide the best opportunity for a win among the remaining opponents.

Reality is the Gophers may fail to qualify for a bowl game.  The four wins leading up to the Iowa game were nice but came against the softest nonconference schedule in the Big Ten.  UNLV, New Mexico State, Western Illinois and San Jose State — a combined 7 wins and 12 losses for four teams without much personnel.  Nobody in the Big Ten had it easier than Minnesota.

That’s the kind of schedule Gophers coach Jerry Kill wants.  He’s trying to reshape the talent-poor program he was given in 2011.  The plan calls for winning all the nonconference games, finding a couple of league wins and going to a lower level bowl.  Extra practices have value but just as important is using a bowl game for a sales tool with recruits, part of the patter the program is improving and will be a winner.

The Gophers are better than two years ago.  This is not the same program Kill inherited.  The talent is superior, the players are bigger and stronger.  They play hard but are often overmatched and out-executed.

It takes time to construct a more competitive roster.  Kill has only had two recruiting classes that were the work of him and his assistants.  Building a football program is an exercise in not only acquiring skilled players but also increasing total numbers on the roster and putting those players through a process of becoming stronger and more experienced.

The Gophers might surprise their disappointed fans and find a couple more wins this season but even the most optimistic scenario won’t have Minnesota doing much better than last year’s 2-6 Big Ten record.  Minnesota hasn’t won half of its conference games since 2005 when the Gophers were 4-4.

Put down 2015 as a possibility for climbing to .500 in the Big Ten.  Kill knows what he is doing and the Gophers will be better next year, and the year after.  For disappointed Gophers fans that might not represent much encouragement but could be reality.

If you want to rant, don’t direct your comments to Kill.  Send them to the school administration.  Tell them you want the Gophers to have more resources comparable to the better college football programs including improved practice, academic and training table facilities.

And if you want a little encouragement look at undefeated Northern Illinois’ record this season.  The program Kill helped build — led by quarterback Jordan Lynch who Kill recruited and developed — is 2-0 against Big Ten teams.  The Huskies are the first Mid-American Conference team in history to have two wins against Big Ten teams in one year.

Just ask Iowa and Purdue.

Worth Noting

A source with knowledge about the Twins organization told Sports Headliners he expects the club to announce today Ron Gardenhire won’t return as manager for 2014.  The same source said Paul Molitor could be the team’s new hire.

Don’t expect the Twins to name a successor today if an announcement is made regarding Gardenhire leaving the franchise.  If interested, the well-liked Gardenhire is almost certain to be offered a position within the organization if he is no longer the manager.  You can be sure Gardenhire’s Twins colleagues and bosses feel bad he finished the season two wins short of 1,000 career victories.

The Twins completed their 2013 season yesterday with a loss to the Indians and a final record of 66 wins, 96 losses.  The Twins were also 66-96 last year and 63-99 in 2011.  The three year cumulative record, 195 wins, 291 losses, is the worst in Twins history dating back to 1961.

What’s next?  Well, from 1997-2000, the Twins’ record was 270 wins, 376 losses.  Breaking that record is in play unless the club unexpectedly improves its starting pitching — by a lot.

Average home attendance declined by about 4,000 per game.  The season per game averages since Target Field opened in 2010 are:  39,798, 39,112, 34,512 and 30,588.

Adding to the frustration for fans is seeing the success of Twins alums with other teams.  Among the achievers in 2013 were outfielder Michael Cuddyer who won the National League batting title with a .324 average and pitcher Francisco Liriano who tied for third in the NL with most wins, 16.

Relief pitchers and ex-Twins Joe Nathan and Grant Balfour were top six finishers in AL saves.  Slugger David Ortiz hit 30 home runs and drove in 103 runs, while Carlos Gomez hit 24 home runs and stole 40 bases — painful reminders the Twins had less productive players at designated hitter and center field.

Sports Illustrated offers an NHL preview including power rankings in its September 30 issue.  The Wild is ranked No. 6 in the 14 team Western Conference.  The Penguins are No. 1 in the Eastern Conference with the Blackhawks No. 1 in the West and the magazine’s choice to repeat as Stanley Cup champions.

S.I. chose Wild second year defenseman Jonas Brodin as its “Breakout Player” in the Central Division.  “Polished beyond his years in the defensive zone, look for the 20-year-old Brodin’s offensive game to blossom this season,” S.I said.

The new Robbinsdale High School Athletic Hall of Fame will induct its first honorees from 7 to 8:30 p.m. on Friday, October 18 at Robbinsdale Middle School.  The inductees are Dennis Claridge, Don Dale, Verne Gagne, Tom Heinonen, Julian Hook, Len Lilyholm, Tom Loechler, Irv Nerdahl, Larry Peterson, Cindy Sneddon, Randy Sonenfeld and H.W. “Doc” Spurrier.

Robbinsdale High closed in 1982 but the building is still used by the middle school.  More information about the hall of fame is available by calling 763-537-3317.

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Iowa Recruiter Put Down Gophers

Posted on September 27, 2013September 27, 2013 by David Shama

 

Gophers, Vikings and other notes leading up to the first official fall football weekend:

When Rodrick Williams was in high school his college football choices came down to Minnesota and Iowa.  He told an Iowa recruiter he was interested in the Gophers.

“What he told me was, ‘I thought you liked to win.’  He laughed at me,” Williams said earlier this month. “So then it got in my head I am going to go to Minnesota and we’re going to beat Iowa.  Let him know we’re the ones winning.”

Two years ago Williams was being recruited out of Lewisville, Texas.  Back then the Gophers were experiencing what would turn out to be their second consecutive 3-9 season.  Iowa, though, had records of 11-2 in 2009, 8-5 in 2010 and 7-6 in 2011.

Iowa was 4-8 last season while Minnesota finished 6-7 including the Gophers’ first bowl game appearance since 2009.  This year Iowa is 3-1 and Minnesota 4-0 in nonconference games.

Williams, a sophomore running back, didn’t play last season when the Hawkeyes defeated the Gophers 31-13 in Iowa City.  But Williams is expected to play tomorrow when Iowa comes to Minneapolis.  He is the second leading Minnesota rusher with 277 yards.

Williams and the other Gophers are excited about tomorrow.  The two teams are playing in their 2013 Big Ten Conference opening game.  The winner of the annual border rivalry gets to keep Floyd of Rosedale, the bronze pig and trophy that dates back to 1935.

“I’ve been thinking about the Iowa game since this summer,” Williams said.  “Try to get the pig back.”

Both programs want to move past recent mediocre seasons, making this perhaps the most important Minnesota-Iowa game in years.  The winner makes a statement about not being suspect No. 1 to finish last in the Legends Division that also includes Michigan, Michigan State, Nebraska and Northwestern — all teams considered superior in personnel to Minnesota and Iowa.

The winner of tomorrow’s game, of course, will dream bigger than just avoiding a last place finish in the division.  In September there are ambitions about winning a lot of conference games and earning a trip to a big-time bowl.

And then there’s the emotion of the Iowa-Minnesota rivalry.  Minnesota students annually chant, “We hate Iowa!”  In recent days Gophers quarterback Mitch Leidner said he’s heard those three words on campus.  “It’s all in good fun,” Leidner said.

Leidner, the Gophers’ redshirt freshman starting quarterback, will play in his first Iowa-Minnesota game.  The importance of it, the atmosphere on campus, the sellout crowd and Floyd of Rosedale have him looking forward to kickoff.  “It’s going to be awesome,” Leidner said.  “Can’t wait.”

Leidner also said he has a close relationship with his teammates and has fun with them.  “I wrestle Isaac Hayes quite a bit.  There was one night that I pinned him five times in a row.”

Senior safety Brock Vereen said the Gophers don’t want their emotions to overtake their decision making against Iowa.  “Sometimes it’s good to have emotion.   Sometimes it’s not,” Vereen said.  “Too much of it is a bad thing.”

Gophers coach Jerry Kill doesn’t seem too concerned about his team being distracted and not able to execute assignments tomorrow.  “We’ve had enough distractions and things around here for a lifetime for the last two years,” Kill said.  “…When we have control of them (the players) I feel very good about it.  When we don’t have them and they’re not here, you worry about them if you’re playing Iowa or anybody.

“You don’t sleep when you’re in charge of 115 players.  It doesn’t matter who you play, or what you do, you’re uncomfortable.”

Minnesota defeated Western Illinois two weeks ago, a team with a similar offense to Iowa’s.  “Even though the personnel is very different, just to have the same looks and stuff…it will give us a lot more confidence going forward,” Vereen said.  “But at the same time you can’t really compare the personnel.”

If you judge the personnel of Iowa and Minnesota by comparing players named to preseason awards candidates lists, the Hawkeyes are superior.  Iowa linebacker James Morris and Minnesota tackle Ra’Shede Hageman are both being considered for the Bednarik Award and Nagurski Trophy, annually awarded to the nation’s best defensive player.  The Gophers’ Williams is a candidate for the Earl Campbell Tyler Rose Award given to the player who best exhibits the on and off the field characteristics of Campbell.

But Iowa’s Mark Weisman is on the Doak Walker list for best running back, Mike Meyer is a candidate for the Groza Award recognizing the top placekicker, C.J. Fiedorowicz could win the Mackey Award for best tight end, and not only is Morris up for the Butkus Award given to the best linebacker but so, too, are linebacker teammates Anthony Hitchens and Christian Kirksey.  That’s six Hawkeyes to two Gophers.

Unlike many observers, former Vikings assistant coach Dean Dalton doesn’t agree the team’s offensive line is playing subpar.  He told Sports Headliners that defenses are crowding the line of scrimmage, making it more difficult for Adrian Peterson to rush for big yards.  “You should be able to stretch the field,” Dalton said.

The line has been criticized for not only run blocking but also allowing too much pressure from pass rushers on quarterback Christian Ponder.  But Dalton said the pressure is often caused by Ponder who needs to more quickly find a receiver, or throw the ball away.  Instead, Ponder frequently holds the ball too long in the pocket.

The potential is present to “stretch the field.”  Dalton likes the receiver group of tight end Kyle Rudolph, 2012 carryover wide receiver Jerome Simpson and offseason wide receiver acquisitions Greg Jennings and Cordarrelle Patterson.

The 0-3 Vikings play the 0-3 Steelers in London on Sunday.  Because of a rib injury, Ponder isn’t expected to play and will be replaced by Matt Cassel who started eight of 16 games for the Chiefs last year.  He threw 12 interceptions and six touchdown passes.

The Steelers are led by former Vikings defensive coordinator Mike Tomlin, Pittsburgh’s head coach since 2007.  He is a boss who Matt Spaeth admires.

“I love him,” Spaeth told Sports Headliners this week.  “I don’t think it gets much better.  He’s very real, speaks the truth.  He always knows the right thing to say whether it’s good, bad or indifferent.  I’ve got a ton of respect for the guy.”

Spaeth, the former Gophers tight end from St. Michael, Minnesota, is on injured reserve.  He has an injured right foot and has been unable to play in any games in what is supposed to be his seventh NFL season.

Spaeth doesn’t know when he will return to game action and although he has been rehabbing after surgery, he isn’t even running yet.  “Trust me.  It’s a very difficult time for me,” Spaeth said.  “All the injuries I’ve had, I’ve never had an injury like this.  It’s tough to watch (my teammates).  I could be helping these guys.  I want to be out there showing what I am capable of.”

Spaeth said the Steelers have been making too many turnovers.  “Ball security has to be job No. 1,” he said.

A few years ago former Gophers basketball coach Tubby Smith said, “I don’t do the tweet.”  But now Smith, soon starting his first season as Texas Tech head coach, has a Twitter account, @coachTubbySmith.  He has sent eight tweets and has 13,776 followers but is following no one on Twitter.

The Timberwolves will have their media day in Minneapolis on Monday, then four days of training camp at Minnesota State, Mankato.  The Tuesday through Friday practices are closed to the public.

The latest D3football.com poll has Bethel ranked No. 5, St. Thomas No. 6 and Saint John’s No. 21.  Bethel plays at Carleton in a MIAC game on Saturday while St. Thomas has a bye.

Saint John’s takes on Concordia in its first conference home game under new head coach Gary Fasching.

Twins rookie catcher Josmil Pinto homered last night in the 6-5 loss to the Indians.  It was his fourth home run in 80 at bats for Minnesota.

Rookie Michael Tonkin pitched in relief last evening and hasn’t allowed an earned run in 10.1 innings.

Comments Welcome

Don’t Underrate Minnesota Prep Football

Posted on September 25, 2013September 25, 2013 by David Shama

 

It’s too obvious to ignore now.  Young men who learned how to play football at Minnesota high schools are making regional and national headlines at the college level.

Twenty years ago such players didn’t command as much attention but it’s different now.  Last Saturday ESPN College GameDay was in Fargo to pay homage to the North Dakota State Bison.  All that program has done is use savvy coaching and a Minnesota-heavy roster to win the last two Football Championship Subdivision national titles.

The Bison roster this fall lists 35 Minnesotans.  They and their teammates found glory a few weeks ago in Manhattan, Kansas defeating defending Big 12 champion Kansas State.  No one should have been stunned since the Bison have defeated two other Bowl Championship Series schools since 2010 — Kansas and Minnesota.  (BCS replaced the Division I-A label awhile ago and FCS replaced the smaller school Division I-AA title).

But the Bison weren’t the only showcase for Minnesota high school alums last Saturday.  Former Eagan High School running back Zach Zenner ran for two first quarter touchdowns in Lincoln against Nebraska as the Jackrabbits took an early 17-14 lead.  Zenner, a junior, led all FCS players in rushing last season and is No. 1 again this fall with 742 yards.  He is one of 18 Minnesotans on the Jackrabbits’ roster, a team that is among the best in the FCS.

Scan the Division II top 25 coaches poll and there is Minnesota State-Mankato ranked No. 2 in the country.  UMD is No. 13 and St. Cloud State No. 20 in the poll.  The Mavericks have 23 Minnesotans on the roster while UMD has 60 and St. Cloud 48.

Pollsters obviously aren’t hesitant to rank Minnesota colleges high in the Division II poll.  Why should they be after UMD won national championship games in 2008 and 2010?  The coach of those teams, Bob Nielsen, is now in his first season coaching Western Illinois and he won’t surprise anyone if he recruits at Minnesota high schools.

St.   Thomas has been in the mix for a Division III national championship the last couple of years.  This summer the Tommies started the season ranked No. 2 in the country in the Division III coaches poll and despite a loss to Saint John’s last Saturday St. Thomas will remain a 2013 national power.  The Tommies, who had won 36 consecutive regular season games, have 87 Minnesotans on the roster.

Minnesota colleges have loaded up their football programs with alums of state high schools.  The nine MIAC schools playing football—all located in Minnesota—have 680 Minnesotans on their rosters.  The 16-member Northern Sun Conference, with nearly all Minnesota-based schools, has 427 Minnesotans.

North Dakota, a member of the Big Sky Conference, has 24 alums of Minnesota high schools.  Northern Iowa, from the Missouri Valley Conference like North Dakota State, has nine Minnesotans.  The Panthers defeated Iowa State of the Big 12 Conference earlier this year.

It’s a nice success story for Minnesota prep football but the script grows weaker when searching the rosters of NFL teams and major college programs.  Only a dozen Minnesotans are in the NFL with the most prominent names being wide receivers Larry Fitzgerald and Eric Decker.

No major program from the power conferences turns to this state’s talent pool for most of its needs.  And that starts with the Gophers.  On last week’s depth chart prior to Minnesota’s final nonconference game against San Jose State, the Gophers had seven state natives starting on offense and one on defense.  The Gophers have 42 Minnesotans on their roster of 120 total players.

Many of the 42 will never be starters or major game day contributors.  Some aren’t even scholarship players.  The Gophers 2013 recruiting class had only one scholarship player from the state, linebacker Chris Wipson from Wayzata, according to Rivals.com.  The year before the total was nine of 27 recruits from Minnesota.

But with so much success by other football programs — led by the North Dakota State bandwagon — are the Gophers missing the boat?  Well, probably not.  For openers, the Bison likely couldn’t win a lot of games week after week if they had to go against the speed, skill and depth of teams from major college programs.

Those programs recruit in talent rich states with more population and favorable climate. Generally speaking, former Minnesota preps are going to do better competing at the FCS, Division II and III levels.

“I think there’s a lot of solid high school football players in Minnesota but I don’t think there’s your elite level football players,” said Minnesota-based recruiting authority Zach Johnson.  “I don’t think you can say Minnesota has the quality at the elite level that you would find in Texas, California, Florida (and) most of the southeast.”

Johnson tracks the Gophers recruiting classes and believes the program is correct in often conservatively targeting the number of Minnesotans for scholarships. “Yeah, they’re looking for a different football player,” he said.  “They’re looking for a football player that can play at the highest level.”

Gophers coach Jerry Kill said “we’re doing the best we can” in recruiting state players.  He believes the number of prospects who interest him as potential scholarship players can vary from five to 25.  Having lived in Kansas, a state somewhat similar to Minnesota in population, Kill saw the importance of a large talent pool.  “It has to do with population more than anything.  More football programs, more schools, more players.”

The Gophers shouldn’t be second-guessed too much for losing to the Bison (Minnesota was rebuilding in its first season under Kill), or because of all the Minnesota natives on the rosters of teams from the Dakotas.  “Minnesota is a perfect place for South Dakota schools and North Dakota schools to recruit because it’s loaded with a big metro area with a lot of football players that are just a step below what you need at the big time SEC, ACC level,” Johnson said.  “You don’t see 31 Minnesota kids on a SEC roster or an ACC roster.  How many Minnesota kids do you see playing in the Pac-12 and SEC and ACC and schools like that?”

Not many is the answer and that’s no surprise to even a Minnesota high school booster like Ron Stolski.  He has been coaching high school teams in the state for 52 years and is executive director of the Minnesota High School Football Coaches Association.

He said states like California, Florida and Texas have special athletes blessed with speed and football is “king,” indicating the importance of the sport in those places.  But that doesn’t mean Minnesota kids don’t receive top level coaching.  “Our kids are as well coached as any in the country,” he said.  “The feedback we get constantly is how in tune our coaches are.”

The success of the FCS, Division II and Division III programs in the region also doesn’t surprise Stolski who has sent many of his former players to those types of schools but only three to Division I football during more than a half century of coaching in Minnesota.  “Remember they’re also playing schools with Minnesota kids on them.  I think the coaching staffs of all those schools…are outstanding.  They get that borderline Division I, Division II athlete.  They coach the snot out of them.”

That “borderline athlete” is the kind of prospect the Gophers want to have join the program without a scholarship.  Kill will tell you the success of his walk-on program will be critical to whether he turns the Gophers into one of the Big Ten Conference’s better teams.

And, of course, he wants the best Minnesota high school players in the worst way.  That list could start with Cretin-Derham Hall defensive end Jashon Cornell, rated by ESPN as the No. 1 football player in the country for the class of 2015.   Cornell and his teammates were the feature high school game on ESPN a few weeks ago.

That’s heady stuff and the kind of thing that makes someone like Rochester, Minnesota native and former Gopher Darrell Thompson feel good about this state’s prep football players.  He thinks major college programs, including the Gophers, have overlooked the quality and depth of the state’s recruiting pool.

“This (Gophers) coaching staff doesn’t realize that there is more here (prospects) than people (think),” Thompson said.  “The grass always looks greener.  Just like someone’s wife always looks cuter than your wife or some girl.  Someone else always looks better.”

Thompson believes the Gophers could typically take 12 to 15 Minnesotans for a recruiting class and be the better for it.  “I wouldn’t think you’d have to go with 25 or 30 kids coming from somewhere else every year.”

Maybe the Gophers could pull that off if they could annually lock up each of the state’s best prep players.  Bringing the Cornells, Fitzgeralds and Michael Floyds to Dinkytown each year would be precedent setting in this century.

Probably won’t happen but Minnesotans can know there are a lot of success stories on all levels of college football because of contributions made by this state’s high school football alums.  “Our football is being played at a very high level,” Stolski said.

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